2024 tropical cyclone season · Southern Hemisphere
Cyclone Megan Megan · SH192024
Cyclone Megan was tracked in the Southern Hemisphere from 2024-03-12 to 2024-03-21 (9 days), peaking at 90 kt (H2) with a minimum pressure of 960 hPa. 46 archived forecasts from ECMWF, ECMWF ENS, GFS, GEFS are verified against its best track; at 48 hours the closest was ECMWF, 58 km off on average.
- ATCF ID
- SH192024
- Basin
- Southern Hemisphere
- Tracked
- 2024-03-12 → 2024-03-21 (9 days)
- Peak wind
- 90 kt · 46 m/s · H2
- Minimum pressure
- 960 hPa
- Archived forecasts
- 46
- Sources
- ECMWF · ECMWF ENS · GFS · GEFS
Forecast track error (km)
| Source | 24 h | 48 h | 72 h | 120 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 57 (7) | 58 (5) | 122 (3) | — |
| ECMWF ENS | 59 (7) | 72 (5) | 132 (3) | — |
| GFS | 80 (14) | 141 (10) | 148 (6) | — |
| GEFS | 67 (14) | 75 (10) | 48 (6) | — |
Mean great-circle distance to the best track at each lead time, counted while the system was a tropical or subtropical cyclone; the number of cases is in brackets.
Best track
Six-hourly positions of the US best track (JTWC / NHC, one-minute winds); grades on the Saffir–Simpson scale.
| Time (UTC) | Position | Wind (kt) | Pressure (hPa) | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-12 12Z | 13.7°S 127.8°E | 15 | 1003 | TD |
| 2024-03-12 18Z | 13.0°S 128.4°E | 15 | 1002 | TD |
| 2024-03-13 00Z | 12.5°S 128.8°E | 20 | 997 | TD |
| 2024-03-13 06Z | 11.9°S 129.6°E | 25 | 992 | TD |
| 2024-03-13 12Z | 11.6°S 130.7°E | 25 | 992 | TD |
| 2024-03-13 18Z | 11.6°S 131.7°E | 25 | 993 | TD |
| 2024-03-14 00Z | 11.6°S 132.7°E | 25 | 993 | TD |
| 2024-03-14 06Z | 11.7°S 133.6°E | 25 | 992 | TD |
| 2024-03-14 12Z | 11.9°S 134.5°E | 25 | 994 | TD |
| 2024-03-14 18Z | 12.2°S 135.5°E | 25 | 994 | TD |
| 2024-03-15 00Z | 12.4°S 136.5°E | 30 | 993 | TD |
| 2024-03-15 06Z | 12.9°S 137.1°E | 35 | 995 | TS |
| 2024-03-15 12Z | 13.4°S 137.3°E | 35 | 997 | TS |
| 2024-03-15 18Z | 13.6°S 137.7°E | 40 | 995 | TS |
| 2024-03-16 00Z | 13.8°S 138.0°E | 45 | 995 | TS |
| 2024-03-16 06Z | 14.2°S 137.9°E | 50 | 987 | TS |
| 2024-03-16 12Z | 14.5°S 137.8°E | 55 | 987 | TS |
| 2024-03-16 18Z | 14.7°S 137.6°E | 70 | 975 | H1 |
| 2024-03-17 00Z | 15.0°S 137.4°E | 75 | 975 | H1 |
| 2024-03-17 06Z | 15.1°S 137.1°E | 80 | 965 | H1 |
| 2024-03-17 12Z | 14.9°S 137.4°E | 85 | 965 | H2 |
| 2024-03-17 18Z | 15.3°S 137.2°E | 90 | 960 | H2 |
| 2024-03-18 00Z | 15.6°S 137.1°E | 85 | 964 | H2 |
| 2024-03-18 06Z | 16.0°S 136.8°E | 70 | 974 | H1 |
| 2024-03-18 12Z | 16.3°S 136.4°E | 55 | 987 | TS |
| 2024-03-18 18Z | 16.6°S 135.9°E | 45 | 993 | TS |
| 2024-03-19 00Z | 16.9°S 135.6°E | 30 | 1001 | TD |
| 2024-03-19 06Z | 17.2°S 135.3°E | 25 | 1002 | TD |
| 2024-03-19 12Z | 17.4°S 134.9°E | 25 | 1002 | TD |
| 2024-03-19 18Z | 17.6°S 134.6°E | 25 | 1004 | TD |
| 2024-03-20 00Z | 17.6°S 134.1°E | 20 | 1006 | TD |
| 2024-03-20 06Z | 17.6°S 134.1°E | 15 | 1007 | TD |