2024 tropical cyclone season · Southern Hemisphere

Cyclone Mal Mal · SH022024

Cyclone Mal was tracked in the Southern Hemisphere from 2023-11-12 to 2023-11-17 (5 days), peaking at 75 kt (H1) with a minimum pressure of 975 hPa. 122 archived forecasts from ECMWF, ECMWF ENS, GFS, GEFS are verified against its best track; at 48 hours the closest was GFS, 145 km off on average.

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ATCF ID
SH022024
Basin
Southern Hemisphere
Tracked
2023-11-12 → 2023-11-17 (5 days)
Peak wind
75 kt · 39 m/s · H1
Minimum pressure
975 hPa
Archived forecasts
122
Sources
ECMWF · ECMWF ENS · GFS · GEFS
TDTSH1H2H3H4H5

Forecast track error (km)

Source24 h48 h72 h120 h
ECMWF100 (12)149 (8)202 (4)—
ECMWF ENS103 (12)180 (8)271 (4)—
GFS89 (12)145 (8)222 (4)—
GEFS94 (12)160 (8)232 (4)—

Mean great-circle distance to the best track at each lead time, counted while the system was a tropical or subtropical cyclone; the number of cases is in brackets.

Best track

Six-hourly positions of the US best track (JTWC / NHC, one-minute winds); grades on the Saffir–Simpson scale.

Time (UTC)PositionWind (kt)Pressure (hPa)Grade
2023-11-12 00Z7.0°S 167.8°E251004TD
2023-11-12 06Z7.5°S 168.8°E251004TD
2023-11-12 12Z8.0°S 169.7°E25995TD
2023-11-12 18Z8.6°S 170.5°E30994TD
2023-11-13 00Z9.6°S 171.1°E35991TS
2023-11-13 06Z11.1°S 172.1°E50991TS
2023-11-13 12Z12.3°S 173.0°E55991TS
2023-11-13 18Z12.3°S 173.0°E60989TS
2023-11-14 00Z14.7°S 174.3°E60989TS
2023-11-14 06Z16.1°S 175.2°E65984H1
2023-11-14 12Z17.4°S 175.7°E65985H1
2023-11-14 18Z18.6°S 176.5°E75975H1
2023-11-15 00Z20.2°S 177.9°E70983H1
2023-11-15 06Z21.4°S 178.2°E65985H1
2023-11-15 12Z22.2°S 178.5°E60987TS
2023-11-15 18Z23.5°S 178.9°E55992TS
2023-11-16 00Z24.8°S 179.8°W40999TS
2023-11-16 06Z25.8°S 178.5°W35989TS
2023-11-16 12Z26.8°S 177.3°W351001TS
2023-11-16 18Z27.9°S 176.3°W351004TS