2024 tropical cyclone season · Southern Hemisphere
Cyclone Lola Lola · SH012024
Cyclone Lola was tracked in the Southern Hemisphere from 2023-10-19 to 2023-10-26 (8 days), peaking at 125 kt (H4) with a minimum pressure of 937 hPa. 142 archived forecasts from ECMWF, ECMWF ENS, GFS, GEFS are verified against its best track; at 48 hours the closest was ECMWF, 89 km off on average.
- ATCF ID
- SH012024
- Basin
- Southern Hemisphere
- Tracked
- 2023-10-19 → 2023-10-26 (8 days)
- Peak wind
- 125 kt · 64 m/s · H4
- Minimum pressure
- 937 hPa
- Archived forecasts
- 142
- Sources
- ECMWF · ECMWF ENS · GFS · GEFS
Forecast track error (km)
| Source | 24 h | 48 h | 72 h | 120 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 60 (13) | 89 (9) | 148 (5) | — |
| ECMWF ENS | 61 (17) | 123 (13) | 227 (9) | 493 (1) |
| GFS | 89 (13) | 129 (9) | 114 (5) | — |
| GEFS | 102 (13) | 154 (9) | 177 (5) | — |
Mean great-circle distance to the best track at each lead time, counted while the system was a tropical or subtropical cyclone; the number of cases is in brackets.
Best track
Six-hourly positions of the US best track (JTWC / NHC, one-minute winds); grades on the Saffir–Simpson scale.
| Time (UTC) | Position | Wind (kt) | Pressure (hPa) | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-20 18Z | 6.8°S 168.7°E | 25 | 1004 | TD |
| 2023-10-21 00Z | 7.4°S 168.4°E | 30 | 1001 | TD |
| 2023-10-21 06Z | 8.0°S 168.0°E | 30 | 1001 | TD |
| 2023-10-21 12Z | 8.9°S 168.0°E | 30 | 1001 | TD |
| 2023-10-21 18Z | 9.7°S 168.4°E | 35 | 998 | TS |
| 2023-10-22 00Z | 10.1°S 168.4°E | 45 | 995 | TS |
| 2023-10-22 06Z | 10.5°S 168.4°E | 55 | 991 | TS |
| 2023-10-22 12Z | 11.3°S 168.7°E | 60 | 988 | TS |
| 2023-10-22 18Z | 12.0°S 169.1°E | 65 | 986 | H1 |
| 2023-10-23 00Z | 12.5°S 169.3°E | 75 | 979 | H1 |
| 2023-10-23 06Z | 13.0°S 169.4°E | 95 | 965 | H2 |
| 2023-10-23 12Z | 13.4°S 169.4°E | 115 | 947 | H4 |
| 2023-10-23 18Z | 14.0°S 169.1°E | 120 | 940 | H4 |
| 2023-10-24 00Z | 14.5°S 169.0°E | 125 | 937 | H4 |
| 2023-10-24 06Z | 15.1°S 168.7°E | 120 | 942 | H4 |
| 2023-10-24 12Z | 15.6°S 168.4°E | 110 | 951 | H3 |
| 2023-10-24 18Z | 16.1°S 168.2°E | 100 | 961 | H3 |
| 2023-10-25 00Z | 16.5°S 167.6°E | 85 | 973 | H2 |
| 2023-10-25 06Z | 16.7°S 167.1°E | 55 | 993 | TS |
| 2023-10-25 12Z | 17.0°S 166.7°E | 45 | 1001 | TS |
| 2023-10-25 18Z | 17.3°S 166.2°E | 35 | 1004 | TS |
| 2023-10-26 00Z | 17.5°S 165.6°E | 20 | 1004 | TD |
| 2023-10-26 06Z | 17.8°S 165.7°E | 20 | 1004 | TD |
| 2023-10-26 12Z | 18.4°S 165.8°E | 15 | 1006 | TD |
| 2023-10-26 18Z | 19.5°S 166.5°E | 15 | 1006 | TD |