2024 tropical cyclone season · Southern Hemisphere
Cyclone Lincoln Lincoln · SH142024
Cyclone Lincoln was tracked in the Southern Hemisphere from 2024-02-13 to 2024-02-25 (12 days), peaking at 45 kt (TS) with a minimum pressure of 991 hPa. 104 archived forecasts from ECMWF, ECMWF ENS, GFS, GEFS are verified against its best track; at 48 hours the closest was ECMWF, 90 km off on average.
- ATCF ID
- SH142024
- Basin
- Southern Hemisphere
- Tracked
- 2024-02-13 → 2024-02-25 (12 days)
- Peak wind
- 45 kt · 23 m/s · TS
- Minimum pressure
- 991 hPa
- Archived forecasts
- 104
- Sources
- ECMWF · ECMWF ENS · GFS · GEFS
Forecast track error (km)
| Source | 24 h | 48 h | 72 h | 120 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 87 (20) | 90 (13) | 153 (8) | 156 (2) |
| ECMWF ENS | 82 (21) | 101 (14) | 120 (9) | 156 (5) |
| GFS | 72 (21) | 99 (14) | 206 (9) | 181 (5) |
| GEFS | 64 (21) | 91 (14) | 167 (9) | 203 (5) |
Mean great-circle distance to the best track at each lead time, counted while the system was a tropical or subtropical cyclone; the number of cases is in brackets.
Best track
Six-hourly positions of the US best track (JTWC / NHC, one-minute winds); grades on the Saffir–Simpson scale.
| Time (UTC) | Position | Wind (kt) | Pressure (hPa) | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-02-13 06Z | 15.2°S 134.0°E | 20 | 1007 | TD |
| 2024-02-13 12Z | 15.3°S 134.8°E | 20 | 1007 | TD |
| 2024-02-13 18Z | 15.4°S 135.9°E | 20 | 1006 | TD |
| 2024-02-14 00Z | 15.4°S 136.8°E | 25 | 1005 | TD |
| 2024-02-14 06Z | 15.4°S 137.2°E | 25 | 1004 | TD |
| 2024-02-14 12Z | 15.3°S 137.5°E | 25 | 1004 | TD |
| 2024-02-14 18Z | 15.5°S 137.7°E | 25 | 1004 | TD |
| 2024-02-15 00Z | 15.6°S 137.9°E | 25 | 1004 | TD |
| 2024-02-15 06Z | 15.3°S 138.1°E | 25 | 1004 | TD |
| 2024-02-15 12Z | 15.5°S 137.9°E | 30 | 999 | TD |
| 2024-02-15 18Z | 15.5°S 137.7°E | 35 | 996 | TS |
| 2024-02-16 00Z | 15.5°S 137.5°E | 45 | 991 | TS |
| 2024-02-16 06Z | 15.8°S 137.1°E | 40 | 994 | TS |
| 2024-02-16 12Z | 16.1°S 136.7°E | 30 | 999 | TD |
| 2024-02-16 18Z | 16.9°S 136.4°E | 25 | 1002 | TD |
| 2024-02-17 00Z | 17.8°S 135.5°E | 25 | 1002 | TD |
| 2024-02-17 06Z | 18.2°S 134.6°E | 25 | 1002 | TD |
| 2024-02-17 12Z | 18.5°S 133.8°E | 25 | 1002 | TD |
| 2024-02-17 18Z | 18.8°S 133.1°E | 25 | 1002 | TD |
| 2024-02-18 00Z | 19.0°S 132.3°E | 25 | 1003 | TD |
| 2024-02-18 06Z | 18.8°S 131.5°E | 20 | 1004 | TD |
| 2024-02-18 12Z | 18.6°S 130.6°E | 20 | 1005 | TD |
| 2024-02-18 18Z | 18.6°S 129.9°E | 20 | 1005 | TD |
| 2024-02-19 00Z | 18.5°S 129.3°E | 20 | 1005 | TD |
| 2024-02-19 06Z | 18.5°S 129.0°E | 20 | 1005 | TD |
| 2024-02-19 12Z | 18.5°S 128.8°E | 20 | 1005 | TD |
| 2024-02-19 18Z | 18.2°S 128.2°E | 25 | 1003 | TD |
| 2024-02-20 00Z | 17.9°S 127.3°E | 25 | 1003 | TD |
| 2024-02-20 06Z | 17.7°S 126.7°E | 25 | 1003 | TD |
| 2024-02-20 12Z | 17.1°S 126.2°E | 25 | 1003 | TD |
| 2024-02-20 18Z | 16.3°S 125.5°E | 25 | 1003 | TD |
| 2024-02-21 00Z | 15.8°S 124.8°E | 25 | 1003 | TD |
| 2024-02-21 06Z | 15.6°S 123.7°E | 25 | 1002 | TD |
| 2024-02-21 12Z | 15.3°S 122.7°E | 25 | 1001 | TD |
| 2024-02-21 18Z | 15.7°S 121.5°E | 30 | 1000 | TD |
| 2024-02-22 00Z | 16.1°S 120.4°E | 30 | 1000 | TD |
| 2024-02-22 06Z | 16.6°S 119.1°E | 30 | 1000 | TD |
| 2024-02-22 12Z | 17.1°S 117.9°E | 30 | 1000 | TD |
| 2024-02-22 18Z | 17.6°S 116.3°E | 30 | 1000 | TD |
| 2024-02-23 00Z | 18.0°S 115.2°E | 35 | 997 | TS |
| 2024-02-23 06Z | 18.4°S 114.3°E | 30 | 1000 | TD |
| 2024-02-23 12Z | 18.8°S 113.7°E | 35 | 997 | TS |
| 2024-02-23 18Z | 19.7°S 113.3°E | 35 | 997 | TS |
| 2024-02-24 00Z | 21.0°S 113.2°E | 30 | 1003 | TD |
| 2024-02-24 06Z | 22.3°S 113.2°E | 30 | 1003 | TD |
| 2024-02-24 12Z | 23.3°S 113.5°E | 25 | 1005 | TD |