2024 tropical cyclone season · North Atlantic
Hurricane Kirk Kirk · AL122024
Hurricane Kirk was tracked in the North Atlantic from 2024-09-29 to 2024-10-10 (10 days), peaking at 130 kt (H4) with a minimum pressure of 928 hPa. 178 archived forecasts from NHC, ECMWF, ECMWF ENS, GFS, GEFS are verified against its best track; at 48 hours the closest was ECMWF, 68 km off on average.
- ATCF ID
- AL122024
- Basin
- North Atlantic
- Tracked
- 2024-09-29 → 2024-10-10 (10 days)
- Peak wind
- 130 kt · 67 m/s · H4
- Minimum pressure
- 928 hPa
- Archived forecasts
- 178
- Sources
- NHC · ECMWF · ECMWF ENS · GFS · GEFS
Forecast track error (km)
| Source | 24 h | 48 h | 72 h | 120 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NHC | 58 (27) | 82 (23) | 108 (19) | 348 (11) |
| ECMWF | 60 (27) | 68 (23) | 78 (19) | 307 (5) |
| ECMWF ENS | 58 (27) | 75 (23) | 91 (19) | 285 (11) |
| GFS | 61 (27) | 96 (23) | 126 (19) | 375 (11) |
| GEFS | 60 (27) | 98 (23) | 121 (19) | 322 (11) |
Mean great-circle distance to the best track at each lead time, counted while the system was a tropical or subtropical cyclone; the number of cases is in brackets.
Best track
Six-hourly positions of the US best track (JTWC / NHC, one-minute winds); grades on the Saffir–Simpson scale.
| Time (UTC) | Position | Wind (kt) | Pressure (hPa) | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-29 18Z | 13.8°N 32.1°W | 30 | 1006 | TD |
| 2024-09-30 00Z | 13.8°N 32.8°W | 30 | 1006 | TD |
| 2024-09-30 06Z | 13.6°N 33.4°W | 35 | 1004 | TS |
| 2024-09-30 12Z | 13.4°N 34.3°W | 45 | 1001 | TS |
| 2024-09-30 18Z | 13.7°N 35.3°W | 50 | 999 | TS |
| 2024-10-01 00Z | 14.2°N 36.3°W | 50 | 998 | TS |
| 2024-10-01 06Z | 14.7°N 37.5°W | 50 | 995 | TS |
| 2024-10-01 12Z | 15.2°N 38.7°W | 60 | 988 | TS |
| 2024-10-01 18Z | 15.9°N 39.7°W | 65 | 986 | H1 |
| 2024-10-02 00Z | 16.5°N 40.6°W | 65 | 986 | H1 |
| 2024-10-02 06Z | 17.1°N 41.6°W | 70 | 982 | H1 |
| 2024-10-02 12Z | 17.8°N 42.7°W | 75 | 979 | H1 |
| 2024-10-02 18Z | 18.5°N 43.5°W | 80 | 975 | H1 |
| 2024-10-03 00Z | 19.1°N 44.1°W | 100 | 959 | H3 |
| 2024-10-03 06Z | 19.6°N 44.7°W | 105 | 955 | H3 |
| 2024-10-03 12Z | 20.1°N 45.5°W | 110 | 948 | H3 |
| 2024-10-03 18Z | 20.7°N 46.3°W | 115 | 944 | H4 |
| 2024-10-04 00Z | 21.2°N 47.1°W | 130 | 928 | H4 |
| 2024-10-04 06Z | 21.9°N 47.9°W | 130 | 928 | H4 |
| 2024-10-04 12Z | 22.5°N 48.6°W | 120 | 938 | H4 |
| 2024-10-04 18Z | 23.3°N 49.1°W | 115 | 942 | H4 |
| 2024-10-05 00Z | 24.3°N 49.7°W | 115 | 943 | H4 |
| 2024-10-05 06Z | 25.4°N 50.1°W | 110 | 945 | H3 |
| 2024-10-05 12Z | 26.8°N 50.4°W | 105 | 949 | H3 |
| 2024-10-05 18Z | 28.7°N 50.2°W | 105 | 949 | H3 |
| 2024-10-06 00Z | 30.6°N 49.9°W | 100 | 951 | H3 |
| 2024-10-06 06Z | 32.6°N 49.5°W | 95 | 955 | H2 |
| 2024-10-06 12Z | 34.5°N 48.6°W | 85 | 959 | H2 |
| 2024-10-06 18Z | 36.4°N 47.2°W | 80 | 959 | H1 |
| 2024-10-07 00Z | 37.9°N 45.0°W | 70 | 964 | H1 |
| 2024-10-07 06Z | 39.5°N 42.4°W | 65 | 966 | H1 |
| 2024-10-07 12Z | 41.2°N 39.9°W | 65 | 966 | H1 |
| 2024-10-07 18Z | 42.7°N 36.6°W | 60 | 966 | TS |
| 2024-10-08 00Z | 43.3°N 33.3°W | 55 | 968 | TS |
| 2024-10-08 06Z | 43.5°N 29.6°W | 55 | 968 | TS |
| 2024-10-08 12Z | 43.5°N 25.4°W | 55 | 972 | TS |
| 2024-10-08 18Z | 42.9°N 20.9°W | 55 | 975 | TS |
| 2024-10-09 00Z | 43.0°N 15.5°W | 50 | 980 | TS |
| 2024-10-09 06Z | 43.5°N 9.5°W | 50 | 980 | TS |
| 2024-10-09 12Z | 45.5°N 4.0°W | 45 | 980 | TS |
| 2024-10-09 18Z | 48.0°N 2.0°E | 40 | 980 | TS |
| 2024-10-10 00Z | 51.0°N 8.0°E | 30 | 982 | TD |