2024 tropical cyclone season · North Atlantic
Hurricane Joyce Joyce · AL112024
Hurricane Joyce was tracked in the North Atlantic from 2024-09-27 to 2024-09-30 (4 days), peaking at 45 kt (TS) with a minimum pressure of 1001 hPa. 102 archived forecasts from NHC, ECMWF, ECMWF ENS, GFS, GEFS are verified against its best track; at 48 hours the closest was NHC, 104 km off on average.
- ATCF ID
- AL112024
- Basin
- North Atlantic
- Tracked
- 2024-09-27 → 2024-09-30 (4 days)
- Peak wind
- 45 kt · 23 m/s · TS
- Minimum pressure
- 1001 hPa
- Archived forecasts
- 102
- Sources
- NHC · ECMWF · ECMWF ENS · GFS · GEFS
Forecast track error (km)
| Source | 24 h | 48 h | 72 h | 120 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NHC | 67 (10) | 104 (6) | 79 (2) | — |
| ECMWF | 92 (9) | 158 (6) | 303 (2) | — |
| ECMWF ENS | 97 (10) | 174 (7) | 253 (2) | — |
| GFS | 86 (11) | 137 (7) | 128 (3) | — |
| GEFS | 102 (11) | 165 (7) | 172 (3) | — |
Mean great-circle distance to the best track at each lead time, counted while the system was a tropical or subtropical cyclone; the number of cases is in brackets.
Best track
Six-hourly positions of the US best track (JTWC / NHC, one-minute winds); grades on the Saffir–Simpson scale.
| Time (UTC) | Position | Wind (kt) | Pressure (hPa) | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-27 06Z | 17.1°N 41.5°W | 30 | 1007 | TD |
| 2024-09-27 12Z | 17.8°N 42.5°W | 35 | 1005 | TS |
| 2024-09-27 18Z | 18.2°N 43.4°W | 45 | 1001 | TS |
| 2024-09-28 00Z | 18.8°N 44.3°W | 45 | 1001 | TS |
| 2024-09-28 06Z | 19.3°N 45.0°W | 45 | 1001 | TS |
| 2024-09-28 12Z | 19.7°N 45.7°W | 45 | 1002 | TS |
| 2024-09-28 18Z | 20.2°N 46.4°W | 40 | 1003 | TS |
| 2024-09-29 00Z | 20.6°N 47.1°W | 40 | 1004 | TS |
| 2024-09-29 06Z | 21.1°N 47.8°W | 40 | 1004 | TS |
| 2024-09-29 12Z | 21.6°N 48.4°W | 40 | 1005 | TS |
| 2024-09-29 18Z | 22.0°N 48.9°W | 35 | 1006 | TS |
| 2024-09-30 00Z | 22.1°N 49.5°W | 30 | 1006 | TD |
| 2024-09-30 06Z | 22.5°N 49.5°W | 30 | 1006 | TD |
| 2024-09-30 12Z | 22.6°N 49.0°W | 30 | 1006 | TD |
| 2024-09-30 18Z | 22.5°N 48.8°W | 30 | 1006 | TD |