2024 tropical cyclone season · eastern North Pacific
Hurricane John John · EP102024
Hurricane John was tracked in the eastern North Pacific from 2024-09-22 to 2024-09-27 (5 days), peaking at 100 kt (H3) with a minimum pressure of 960 hPa. 122 archived forecasts from NHC, ECMWF, ECMWF ENS, GFS, GEFS are verified against its best track; at 48 hours the closest was ECMWF ENS, 76 km off on average.
- ATCF ID
- EP102024
- Basin
- eastern North Pacific
- Tracked
- 2024-09-22 → 2024-09-27 (5 days)
- Peak wind
- 100 kt · 51 m/s · H3
- Minimum pressure
- 960 hPa
- Archived forecasts
- 122
- Sources
- NHC · ECMWF · ECMWF ENS · GFS · GEFS
Forecast track error (km)
| Source | 24 h | 48 h | 72 h | 120 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NHC | 129 (11) | 219 (5) | 498 (4) | — |
| ECMWF | 98 (11) | 129 (8) | 247 (7) | 447 (1) |
| ECMWF ENS | 79 (10) | 76 (7) | 214 (7) | 183 (2) |
| GFS | 84 (12) | 251 (8) | 473 (9) | 796 (1) |
| GEFS | 91 (12) | 346 (8) | 573 (7) | — |
Mean great-circle distance to the best track at each lead time, counted while the system was a tropical or subtropical cyclone; the number of cases is in brackets.
Best track
Six-hourly positions of the US best track (JTWC / NHC, one-minute winds); grades on the Saffir–Simpson scale.
| Time (UTC) | Position | Wind (kt) | Pressure (hPa) | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-09-22 12Z | 13.8°N 98.6°W | 25 | 1005 | TD |
| 2024-09-22 18Z | 13.9°N 98.6°W | 30 | 1004 | TD |
| 2024-09-23 00Z | 14.0°N 98.6°W | 35 | 1002 | TS |
| 2024-09-23 06Z | 14.2°N 98.5°W | 40 | 1000 | TS |
| 2024-09-23 12Z | 14.6°N 98.4°W | 60 | 992 | TS |
| 2024-09-23 18Z | 15.2°N 98.4°W | 80 | 977 | H1 |
| 2024-09-24 00Z | 15.9°N 98.6°W | 100 | 960 | H3 |
| 2024-09-24 06Z | 16.9°N 99.3°W | 85 | 973 | H2 |
| 2024-09-24 12Z | 17.5°N 100.3°W | 45 | 999 | TS |
| 2024-09-24 18Z | 17.4°N 100.7°W | 30 | 1003 | TD |
| 2024-09-25 00Z | 17.1°N 101.0°W | 30 | 1001 | TD |
| 2024-09-25 06Z | 16.8°N 101.3°W | 30 | 1000 | TD |
| 2024-09-25 12Z | 16.4°N 101.5°W | 35 | 1000 | TS |
| 2024-09-25 18Z | 16.7°N 101.7°W | 45 | 996 | TS |
| 2024-09-26 00Z | 16.9°N 102.0°W | 55 | 984 | TS |
| 2024-09-26 06Z | 17.0°N 102.3°W | 60 | 982 | TS |
| 2024-09-26 12Z | 17.1°N 102.5°W | 65 | 979 | H1 |
| 2024-09-26 18Z | 17.3°N 102.7°W | 65 | 979 | H1 |
| 2024-09-27 00Z | 17.5°N 102.9°W | 60 | 984 | TS |
| 2024-09-27 06Z | 17.8°N 102.9°W | 55 | 988 | TS |
| 2024-09-27 12Z | 18.0°N 102.9°W | 50 | 993 | TS |
| 2024-09-27 18Z | 18.3°N 103.2°W | 35 | 1000 | TS |