2024 tropical cyclone season · North Indian Ocean
Cyclone Fengal Fengal · IO042024
Cyclone Fengal was tracked in the North Indian Ocean from 2024-11-23 to 2024-12-04 (11 days), peaking at 45 kt (TS) with a minimum pressure of 991 hPa. 110 archived forecasts from ECMWF, ECMWF ENS, GFS, GEFS are verified against its best track; at 48 hours the closest was ECMWF ENS, 125 km off on average.
- ATCF ID
- IO042024
- Basin
- North Indian Ocean
- Tracked
- 2024-11-23 → 2024-12-04 (11 days)
- Peak wind
- 45 kt · 23 m/s · TS
- Minimum pressure
- 991 hPa
- Archived forecasts
- 110
- Sources
- ECMWF · ECMWF ENS · GFS · GEFS
Forecast track error (km)
| Source | 24 h | 48 h | 72 h | 120 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 26 (5) | 70 (1) | — | — |
| ECMWF ENS | 68 (24) | 125 (20) | 239 (16) | 390 (10) |
| GFS | 132 (5) | 286 (1) | — | — |
| GEFS | 106 (5) | 220 (1) | — | — |
Mean great-circle distance to the best track at each lead time, counted while the system was a tropical or subtropical cyclone; the number of cases is in brackets.
Best track
Six-hourly positions of the US best track (JTWC / NHC, one-minute winds); grades on the Saffir–Simpson scale.
| Time (UTC) | Position | Wind (kt) | Pressure (hPa) | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-23 18Z | 3.6°N 88.9°E | 25 | 998 | TD |
| 2024-11-24 00Z | 3.7°N 87.8°E | 20 | 999 | TD |
| 2024-11-24 06Z | 3.8°N 86.8°E | 20 | 999 | TD |
| 2024-11-24 12Z | 4.0°N 85.6°E | 20 | 999 | TD |
| 2024-11-24 18Z | 4.2°N 84.7°E | 25 | 997 | TD |
| 2024-11-25 00Z | 4.3°N 83.9°E | 30 | 997 | TD |
| 2024-11-25 06Z | 4.4°N 83.2°E | 30 | 997 | TD |
| 2024-11-25 12Z | 5.1°N 83.0°E | 25 | 996 | TD |
| 2024-11-25 18Z | 5.7°N 83.0°E | 30 | 996 | TD |
| 2024-11-26 00Z | 6.2°N 83.2°E | 30 | 996 | TD |
| 2024-11-26 06Z | 7.0°N 82.9°E | 30 | 996 | TD |
| 2024-11-26 12Z | 7.6°N 82.8°E | 30 | 996 | TD |
| 2024-11-26 18Z | 8.1°N 82.7°E | 30 | 996 | TD |
| 2024-11-27 00Z | 8.4°N 82.4°E | 30 | 995 | TD |
| 2024-11-27 06Z | 8.7°N 82.3°E | 30 | 996 | TD |
| 2024-11-27 12Z | 8.7°N 82.4°E | 30 | 995 | TD |
| 2024-11-27 18Z | 8.9°N 83.2°E | 30 | 996 | TD |
| 2024-11-28 00Z | 9.3°N 83.3°E | 30 | 996 | TD |
| 2024-11-28 06Z | 9.3°N 83.9°E | 30 | 996 | TD |
| 2024-11-28 12Z | 9.6°N 84.0°E | 30 | 996 | TD |
| 2024-11-28 18Z | 10.3°N 84.2°E | 30 | 996 | TD |
| 2024-11-29 00Z | 11.0°N 83.1°E | 30 | 995 | TD |
| 2024-11-29 06Z | 11.4°N 82.6°E | 35 | 994 | TS |
| 2024-11-29 12Z | 11.9°N 82.2°E | 35 | 994 | TS |
| 2024-11-29 18Z | 12.3°N 81.8°E | 40 | 993 | TS |
| 2024-11-30 00Z | 12.5°N 81.4°E | 45 | 992 | TS |
| 2024-11-30 06Z | 12.4°N 81.0°E | 45 | 992 | TS |
| 2024-11-30 12Z | 12.3°N 80.7°E | 45 | 992 | TS |
| 2024-11-30 18Z | 12.2°N 80.4°E | 40 | 994 | TS |
| 2024-12-01 00Z | 12.1°N 80.0°E | 45 | 991 | TS |
| 2024-12-01 06Z | 12.1°N 79.7°E | 35 | 995 | TS |
| 2024-12-01 12Z | 12.1°N 79.5°E | 30 | 998 | TD |
| 2024-12-01 18Z | 12.2°N 79.3°E | 25 | 999 | TD |
| 2024-12-02 00Z | 12.1°N 79.1°E | 20 | 1000 | TD |
| 2024-12-02 06Z | 12.2°N 78.6°E | 20 | 1000 | TD |
| 2024-12-02 12Z | 12.5°N 77.9°E | 20 | 1000 | TD |
| 2024-12-02 18Z | 12.9°N 76.9°E | 15 | 1003 | TD |
| 2024-12-03 00Z | 13.1°N 75.5°E | 15 | 1003 | TD |
| 2024-12-03 06Z | 13.3°N 73.7°E | 20 | 1001 | TD |
| 2024-12-03 12Z | 13.5°N 71.8°E | 20 | 1001 | TD |
| 2024-12-03 18Z | 12.8°N 71.2°E | 20 | 1001 | TD |
| 2024-12-04 00Z | 12.3°N 70.9°E | 20 | 1001 | TD |
| 2024-12-04 06Z | 12.0°N 70.4°E | 20 | 1001 | TD |
| 2024-12-04 12Z | 11.2°N 69.9°E | 15 | 1004 | TD |