2024 tropical cyclone season · eastern North Pacific
Hurricane Carlotta Carlotta · EP032024
Hurricane Carlotta was tracked in the eastern North Pacific from 2024-07-31 to 2024-08-08 (8 days), peaking at 80 kt (H1) with a minimum pressure of 979 hPa. 144 archived forecasts from NHC, ECMWF, ECMWF ENS, GFS, GEFS are verified against its best track; at 48 hours the closest was GEFS, 54 km off on average.
- ATCF ID
- EP032024
- Basin
- eastern North Pacific
- Tracked
- 2024-07-31 → 2024-08-08 (8 days)
- Peak wind
- 80 kt · 41 m/s · H1
- Minimum pressure
- 979 hPa
- Archived forecasts
- 144
- Sources
- NHC · ECMWF · ECMWF ENS · GFS · GEFS
Forecast track error (km)
| Source | 24 h | 48 h | 72 h | 120 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NHC | 46 (18) | 65 (14) | 112 (10) | 390 (2) |
| ECMWF | 48 (18) | 79 (14) | 122 (10) | 366 (1) |
| ECMWF ENS | 47 (19) | 63 (15) | 117 (11) | 285 (3) |
| GFS | 55 (19) | 58 (15) | 89 (11) | 123 (3) |
| GEFS | 54 (19) | 54 (15) | 79 (11) | 302 (3) |
Mean great-circle distance to the best track at each lead time, counted while the system was a tropical or subtropical cyclone; the number of cases is in brackets.
Best track
Six-hourly positions of the US best track (JTWC / NHC, one-minute winds); grades on the Saffir–Simpson scale.
| Time (UTC) | Position | Wind (kt) | Pressure (hPa) | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-31 06Z | 14.3°N 105.8°W | 30 | 1006 | TD |
| 2024-07-31 12Z | 15.0°N 106.7°W | 35 | 1005 | TS |
| 2024-07-31 18Z | 15.8°N 107.6°W | 40 | 1004 | TS |
| 2024-08-01 00Z | 16.4°N 108.4°W | 45 | 1001 | TS |
| 2024-08-01 06Z | 16.8°N 109.4°W | 50 | 1000 | TS |
| 2024-08-01 12Z | 17.1°N 110.4°W | 50 | 999 | TS |
| 2024-08-01 18Z | 17.4°N 111.3°W | 55 | 998 | TS |
| 2024-08-02 00Z | 17.8°N 112.4°W | 60 | 995 | TS |
| 2024-08-02 06Z | 18.1°N 113.5°W | 65 | 991 | H1 |
| 2024-08-02 12Z | 18.3°N 114.6°W | 70 | 986 | H1 |
| 2024-08-02 18Z | 18.5°N 115.8°W | 75 | 983 | H1 |
| 2024-08-03 00Z | 18.7°N 117.2°W | 80 | 980 | H1 |
| 2024-08-03 06Z | 18.8°N 118.4°W | 80 | 979 | H1 |
| 2024-08-03 12Z | 18.8°N 119.5°W | 80 | 980 | H1 |
| 2024-08-03 18Z | 19.0°N 120.5°W | 75 | 983 | H1 |
| 2024-08-04 00Z | 19.3°N 121.4°W | 70 | 986 | H1 |
| 2024-08-04 06Z | 19.5°N 122.4°W | 65 | 989 | H1 |
| 2024-08-04 12Z | 19.7°N 123.5°W | 60 | 992 | TS |
| 2024-08-04 18Z | 19.8°N 124.4°W | 55 | 996 | TS |
| 2024-08-05 00Z | 19.9°N 125.4°W | 50 | 999 | TS |
| 2024-08-05 06Z | 20.1°N 126.1°W | 45 | 1002 | TS |
| 2024-08-05 12Z | 20.3°N 126.8°W | 40 | 1003 | TS |
| 2024-08-05 18Z | 20.5°N 127.4°W | 40 | 1003 | TS |
| 2024-08-06 00Z | 20.6°N 128.1°W | 40 | 1003 | TS |
| 2024-08-06 06Z | 20.6°N 128.8°W | 35 | 1005 | TS |
| 2024-08-06 12Z | 20.6°N 129.4°W | 30 | 1007 | TD |
| 2024-08-06 18Z | 20.6°N 130.1°W | 30 | 1008 | TD |
| 2024-08-07 00Z | 20.6°N 131.0°W | 30 | 1008 | TD |
| 2024-08-07 06Z | 20.4°N 131.8°W | 30 | 1008 | TD |
| 2024-08-07 12Z | 20.1°N 132.6°W | 25 | 1008 | TD |
| 2024-08-07 18Z | 19.9°N 133.3°W | 25 | 1008 | TD |
| 2024-08-08 00Z | 19.6°N 134.2°W | 25 | 1008 | TD |