2023 tropical cyclone season · western North Pacific
Typhoon Saola Saola · WP092023
Typhoon Saola was tracked in the western North Pacific from 2023-08-22 to 2023-09-04 (13 days), peaking at 140 kt (H5) with a minimum pressure of 917 hPa. 182 archived forecasts from ECMWF, ECMWF ENS, GFS, GEFS are verified against its best track; at 48 hours the closest was GFS, 87 km off on average.
- ATCF ID
- WP092023
- Basin
- western North Pacific
- Tracked
- 2023-08-22 → 2023-09-04 (13 days)
- Peak wind
- 140 kt · 72 m/s · H5
- Minimum pressure
- 917 hPa
- Archived forecasts
- 182
- Sources
- ECMWF · ECMWF ENS · GFS · GEFS
Forecast track error (km)
| Source | 24 h | 48 h | 72 h | 120 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 47 (39) | 98 (35) | 156 (31) | 331 (10) |
| ECMWF ENS | 46 (39) | 97 (35) | 150 (31) | 307 (23) |
| GFS | 53 (39) | 87 (35) | 141 (31) | 203 (23) |
| GEFS | 53 (39) | 101 (35) | 155 (31) | 301 (23) |
Mean great-circle distance to the best track at each lead time, counted while the system was a tropical or subtropical cyclone; the number of cases is in brackets.
Best track
Six-hourly positions of the US best track (JTWC / NHC, one-minute winds); grades on the Saffir–Simpson scale.
| Time (UTC) | Position | Wind (kt) | Pressure (hPa) | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-08-22 00Z | 17.5°N 127.7°E | 15 | 1010 | TD |
| 2023-08-22 06Z | 18.1°N 127.5°E | 15 | 1010 | TD |
| 2023-08-22 12Z | 18.8°N 126.9°E | 20 | 1010 | TD |
| 2023-08-22 18Z | 18.9°N 126.5°E | 25 | 1005 | TD |
| 2023-08-23 00Z | 19.0°N 126.1°E | 25 | 1003 | TD |
| 2023-08-23 06Z | 19.2°N 125.7°E | 25 | 1002 | TD |
| 2023-08-23 12Z | 19.2°N 125.4°E | 30 | 1001 | TD |
| 2023-08-23 18Z | 19.9°N 125.0°E | 30 | 999 | TD |
| 2023-08-24 00Z | 20.1°N 124.9°E | 35 | 997 | TS |
| 2023-08-24 06Z | 20.4°N 124.5°E | 45 | 994 | TS |
| 2023-08-24 12Z | 20.3°N 124.2°E | 45 | 994 | TS |
| 2023-08-24 18Z | 20.0°N 124.0°E | 45 | 990 | TS |
| 2023-08-25 00Z | 19.9°N 124.0°E | 60 | 982 | TS |
| 2023-08-25 06Z | 19.9°N 123.9°E | 70 | 981 | H1 |
| 2023-08-25 12Z | 19.5°N 123.6°E | 90 | 964 | H2 |
| 2023-08-25 18Z | 19.1°N 123.3°E | 95 | 960 | H2 |
| 2023-08-26 00Z | 18.6°N 123.2°E | 95 | 959 | H2 |
| 2023-08-26 06Z | 18.0°N 123.2°E | 105 | 952 | H3 |
| 2023-08-26 12Z | 17.5°N 123.1°E | 110 | 947 | H3 |
| 2023-08-26 18Z | 17.1°N 123.0°E | 120 | 938 | H4 |
| 2023-08-27 00Z | 16.8°N 122.9°E | 115 | 942 | H4 |
| 2023-08-27 06Z | 16.5°N 123.0°E | 110 | 943 | H3 |
| 2023-08-27 12Z | 16.2°N 123.2°E | 115 | 940 | H4 |
| 2023-08-27 18Z | 16.0°N 123.8°E | 100 | 954 | H3 |
| 2023-08-28 00Z | 16.9°N 124.4°E | 90 | 963 | H2 |
| 2023-08-28 06Z | 17.5°N 124.2°E | 105 | 950 | H3 |
| 2023-08-28 12Z | 17.9°N 124.0°E | 110 | 946 | H3 |
| 2023-08-28 18Z | 18.2°N 123.9°E | 100 | 954 | H3 |
| 2023-08-29 00Z | 18.6°N 123.3°E | 100 | 955 | H3 |
| 2023-08-29 06Z | 18.9°N 123.1°E | 120 | 935 | H4 |
| 2023-08-29 12Z | 19.3°N 122.7°E | 135 | 922 | H4 |
| 2023-08-29 18Z | 19.9°N 121.8°E | 140 | 917 | H5 |
| 2023-08-30 00Z | 20.1°N 121.0°E | 135 | 923 | H4 |
| 2023-08-30 06Z | 20.4°N 120.3°E | 130 | 927 | H4 |
| 2023-08-30 12Z | 20.8°N 119.6°E | 135 | 922 | H4 |
| 2023-08-30 18Z | 20.9°N 118.7°E | 130 | 926 | H4 |
| 2023-08-31 00Z | 21.1°N 118.2°E | 135 | 922 | H4 |
| 2023-08-31 06Z | 21.2°N 117.8°E | 130 | 926 | H4 |
| 2023-08-31 12Z | 21.4°N 117.3°E | 120 | 935 | H4 |
| 2023-08-31 18Z | 21.6°N 116.8°E | 110 | 944 | H3 |
| 2023-09-01 00Z | 21.9°N 116.2°E | 115 | 939 | H4 |
| 2023-09-01 06Z | 22.0°N 115.4°E | 115 | 939 | H4 |
| 2023-09-01 12Z | 22.0°N 114.4°E | 110 | 943 | H3 |
| 2023-09-01 18Z | 22.0°N 113.5°E | 90 | 959 | H2 |
| 2023-09-02 00Z | 21.9°N 112.8°E | 75 | 970 | H1 |
| 2023-09-02 06Z | 21.7°N 112.1°E | 60 | 979 | TS |
| 2023-09-02 12Z | 21.8°N 110.9°E | 45 | 988 | TS |
| 2023-09-02 18Z | 21.6°N 109.9°E | 30 | 997 | TD |
| 2023-09-03 00Z | 21.3°N 109.6°E | 30 | 996 | TD |
| 2023-09-03 06Z | 21.0°N 109.3°E | 30 | 999 | TD |
| 2023-09-03 12Z | 20.7°N 109.3°E | 20 | 1004 | TD |