2023 tropical cyclone season · eastern North Pacific
Hurricane Pilar Pilar · EP192023
Hurricane Pilar was tracked in the eastern North Pacific from 2023-10-28 to 2023-11-07 (10 days), peaking at 55 kt (TS) with a minimum pressure of 995 hPa. 219 archived forecasts from NHC, ECMWF, ECMWF ENS, GFS, GEFS are verified against its best track; at 48 hours the closest was ECMWF, 65 km off on average.
- ATCF ID
- EP192023
- Basin
- eastern North Pacific
- Tracked
- 2023-10-28 → 2023-11-07 (10 days)
- Peak wind
- 55 kt · 28 m/s · TS
- Minimum pressure
- 995 hPa
- Archived forecasts
- 219
- Sources
- NHC · ECMWF · ECMWF ENS · GFS · GEFS
Forecast track error (km)
| Source | 24 h | 48 h | 72 h | 120 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NHC | 74 (28) | 139 (24) | 268 (20) | 567 (12) |
| ECMWF | 65 (26) | 65 (24) | 98 (20) | 339 (7) |
| ECMWF ENS | 76 (21) | 89 (17) | 129 (15) | 430 (8) |
| GFS | 114 (29) | 161 (25) | 299 (21) | 665 (13) |
| GEFS | 102 (29) | 160 (25) | 284 (21) | 596 (13) |
Mean great-circle distance to the best track at each lead time, counted while the system was a tropical or subtropical cyclone; the number of cases is in brackets.
Best track
Six-hourly positions of the US best track (JTWC / NHC, one-minute winds); grades on the Saffir–Simpson scale.
| Time (UTC) | Position | Wind (kt) | Pressure (hPa) | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-10-28 12Z | 10.4°N 92.6°W | 30 | 1005 | TD |
| 2023-10-28 18Z | 10.2°N 92.6°W | 30 | 1005 | TD |
| 2023-10-29 00Z | 10.4°N 92.8°W | 30 | 1004 | TD |
| 2023-10-29 06Z | 10.7°N 92.9°W | 30 | 1004 | TD |
| 2023-10-29 12Z | 10.7°N 92.7°W | 30 | 1004 | TD |
| 2023-10-29 18Z | 10.7°N 92.6°W | 30 | 1004 | TD |
| 2023-10-30 00Z | 10.8°N 92.3°W | 35 | 1003 | TS |
| 2023-10-30 06Z | 10.9°N 92.0°W | 35 | 1003 | TS |
| 2023-10-30 12Z | 11.0°N 91.7°W | 40 | 1002 | TS |
| 2023-10-30 18Z | 11.1°N 91.4°W | 45 | 1000 | TS |
| 2023-10-31 00Z | 11.2°N 91.1°W | 45 | 999 | TS |
| 2023-10-31 06Z | 11.2°N 90.6°W | 45 | 999 | TS |
| 2023-10-31 12Z | 11.2°N 90.2°W | 45 | 999 | TS |
| 2023-10-31 18Z | 11.4°N 89.8°W | 50 | 998 | TS |
| 2023-11-01 00Z | 11.7°N 89.4°W | 55 | 995 | TS |
| 2023-11-01 06Z | 12.1°N 89.6°W | 55 | 995 | TS |
| 2023-11-01 12Z | 12.4°N 90.1°W | 50 | 997 | TS |
| 2023-11-01 18Z | 12.4°N 91.1°W | 45 | 999 | TS |
| 2023-11-02 00Z | 12.4°N 92.1°W | 45 | 999 | TS |
| 2023-11-02 06Z | 12.4°N 93.3°W | 45 | 999 | TS |
| 2023-11-02 12Z | 12.2°N 94.6°W | 50 | 998 | TS |
| 2023-11-02 18Z | 11.6°N 96.3°W | 55 | 996 | TS |
| 2023-11-03 00Z | 11.0°N 98.2°W | 50 | 998 | TS |
| 2023-11-03 06Z | 10.6°N 100.2°W | 45 | 1000 | TS |
| 2023-11-03 12Z | 10.3°N 102.2°W | 45 | 1000 | TS |
| 2023-11-03 18Z | 10.2°N 104.0°W | 40 | 1002 | TS |
| 2023-11-04 00Z | 10.1°N 105.7°W | 40 | 1002 | TS |
| 2023-11-04 06Z | 10.1°N 107.1°W | 40 | 1002 | TS |
| 2023-11-04 12Z | 10.1°N 108.5°W | 40 | 1002 | TS |
| 2023-11-04 18Z | 10.2°N 109.8°W | 40 | 1002 | TS |
| 2023-11-05 00Z | 10.3°N 111.0°W | 40 | 1002 | TS |
| 2023-11-05 06Z | 10.4°N 112.0°W | 40 | 1002 | TS |
| 2023-11-05 12Z | 10.5°N 113.0°W | 40 | 1003 | TS |
| 2023-11-05 18Z | 10.5°N 113.9°W | 35 | 1004 | TS |
| 2023-11-06 00Z | 10.6°N 114.4°W | 30 | 1005 | TD |
| 2023-11-06 06Z | 10.6°N 114.7°W | 25 | 1006 | TD |
| 2023-11-06 12Z | 10.6°N 115.0°W | 25 | 1006 | TD |
| 2023-11-06 18Z | 10.7°N 115.3°W | 25 | 1007 | TD |
| 2023-11-07 00Z | 11.0°N 116.2°W | 25 | 1007 | TD |
| 2023-11-07 06Z | 12.1°N 117.0°W | 25 | 1007 | TD |
| 2023-11-07 12Z | 13.4°N 117.7°W | 25 | 1007 | TD |