2023 tropical cyclone season · eastern North Pacific

Hurricane Otis Otis · EP182023

Hurricane Otis was tracked in the eastern North Pacific from 2023-10-21 to 2023-10-25 (5 days), peaking at 145 kt (H5) with a minimum pressure of 924 hPa. 119 archived forecasts from NHC, ECMWF, ECMWF ENS, GFS, GEFS are verified against its best track; at 48 hours the closest was ECMWF ENS, 73 km off on average.

Open the interactive storm map →

ATCF ID
EP182023
Basin
eastern North Pacific
Tracked
2023-10-21 → 2023-10-25 (5 days)
Peak wind
145 kt · 75 m/s · H5
Minimum pressure
924 hPa
Archived forecasts
119
Sources
NHC · ECMWF · ECMWF ENS · GFS · GEFS
TDTSH1H2H3H4H5

Forecast track error (km)

Source24 h48 h72 h120 h
NHC112 (10)251 (6)552 (2)—
ECMWF50 (9)105 (6)222 (1)—
ECMWF ENS48 (9)73 (5)256 (2)—
GFS147 (10)413 (6)725 (2)—
GEFS154 (10)377 (6)624 (2)—

Mean great-circle distance to the best track at each lead time, counted while the system was a tropical or subtropical cyclone; the number of cases is in brackets.

Best track

Six-hourly positions of the US best track (JTWC / NHC, one-minute winds); grades on the Saffir–Simpson scale.

Time (UTC)PositionWind (kt)Pressure (hPa)Grade
2023-10-21 00Z9.3°N 95.8°W251007TD
2023-10-21 06Z9.6°N 96.1°W251007TD
2023-10-21 12Z9.7°N 96.6°W251007TD
2023-10-21 18Z9.5°N 96.9°W251007TD
2023-10-22 00Z9.5°N 96.7°W251007TD
2023-10-22 06Z9.6°N 96.6°W301006TD
2023-10-22 12Z9.8°N 96.7°W301006TD
2023-10-22 18Z10.2°N 96.9°W351004TS
2023-10-23 00Z10.8°N 97.1°W351004TS
2023-10-23 06Z11.4°N 97.2°W351004TS
2023-10-23 12Z11.9°N 97.3°W401003TS
2023-10-23 18Z12.6°N 97.6°W451001TS
2023-10-24 00Z13.3°N 98.0°W50998TS
2023-10-24 06Z13.8°N 98.5°W55994TS
2023-10-24 12Z14.2°N 98.9°W65990H1
2023-10-24 18Z14.9°N 99.4°W100971H3
2023-10-25 00Z15.7°N 99.6°W130938H4
2023-10-25 06Z16.7°N 99.8°W145924H5
2023-10-25 12Z17.7°N 100.3°W85980H2
2023-10-25 18Z18.6°N 100.7°W401004TS