2023 tropical cyclone season · North Atlantic
Hurricane Nigel Nigel · AL152023
Hurricane Nigel was tracked in the North Atlantic from 2023-09-15 to 2023-09-26 (11 days), peaking at 85 kt (H2) with a minimum pressure of 958 hPa. 222 archived forecasts from NHC, ECMWF, ECMWF ENS, GFS, GEFS are verified against its best track; at 48 hours the closest was ECMWF ENS, 98 km off on average.
- ATCF ID
- AL152023
- Basin
- North Atlantic
- Tracked
- 2023-09-15 → 2023-09-26 (11 days)
- Peak wind
- 85 kt · 44 m/s · H2
- Minimum pressure
- 958 hPa
- Archived forecasts
- 222
- Sources
- NHC · ECMWF · ECMWF ENS · GFS · GEFS
Forecast track error (km)
| Source | 24 h | 48 h | 72 h | 120 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NHC | 58 (23) | 109 (19) | 205 (15) | 806 (7) |
| ECMWF | 60 (23) | 102 (19) | 196 (15) | 842 (4) |
| ECMWF ENS | 52 (24) | 98 (20) | 191 (16) | 790 (8) |
| GFS | 63 (24) | 123 (20) | 242 (16) | 671 (8) |
| GEFS | 62 (24) | 125 (20) | 222 (16) | 727 (8) |
Mean great-circle distance to the best track at each lead time, counted while the system was a tropical or subtropical cyclone; the number of cases is in brackets.
Best track
Six-hourly positions of the US best track (JTWC / NHC, one-minute winds); grades on the Saffir–Simpson scale.
| Time (UTC) | Position | Wind (kt) | Pressure (hPa) | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-09-15 06Z | 13.6°N 42.2°W | 30 | 1007 | TD |
| 2023-09-15 12Z | 14.3°N 43.2°W | 30 | 1007 | TD |
| 2023-09-15 18Z | 15.2°N 44.0°W | 30 | 1007 | TD |
| 2023-09-16 00Z | 16.1°N 44.8°W | 30 | 1007 | TD |
| 2023-09-16 06Z | 17.4°N 45.4°W | 30 | 1007 | TD |
| 2023-09-16 12Z | 18.7°N 46.0°W | 30 | 1006 | TD |
| 2023-09-16 18Z | 20.1°N 46.7°W | 30 | 1006 | TD |
| 2023-09-17 00Z | 21.4°N 47.6°W | 35 | 1005 | TS |
| 2023-09-17 06Z | 22.5°N 48.3°W | 45 | 1001 | TS |
| 2023-09-17 12Z | 23.5°N 48.8°W | 50 | 997 | TS |
| 2023-09-17 18Z | 24.5°N 49.4°W | 55 | 994 | TS |
| 2023-09-18 00Z | 25.3°N 50.0°W | 60 | 992 | TS |
| 2023-09-18 06Z | 26.0°N 50.6°W | 65 | 987 | H1 |
| 2023-09-18 12Z | 26.8°N 51.1°W | 65 | 987 | H1 |
| 2023-09-18 18Z | 27.5°N 51.7°W | 70 | 982 | H1 |
| 2023-09-19 00Z | 28.2°N 52.4°W | 75 | 979 | H1 |
| 2023-09-19 06Z | 29.0°N 53.2°W | 75 | 979 | H1 |
| 2023-09-19 12Z | 29.9°N 54.0°W | 80 | 975 | H1 |
| 2023-09-19 18Z | 31.1°N 54.7°W | 85 | 972 | H2 |
| 2023-09-20 00Z | 32.4°N 55.0°W | 85 | 971 | H2 |
| 2023-09-20 06Z | 33.7°N 55.2°W | 85 | 971 | H2 |
| 2023-09-20 12Z | 35.2°N 54.7°W | 80 | 972 | H1 |
| 2023-09-20 18Z | 36.7°N 53.6°W | 80 | 972 | H1 |
| 2023-09-21 00Z | 38.3°N 51.6°W | 80 | 973 | H1 |
| 2023-09-21 06Z | 40.0°N 49.2°W | 75 | 975 | H1 |
| 2023-09-21 12Z | 41.3°N 46.3°W | 75 | 975 | H1 |
| 2023-09-21 18Z | 42.8°N 42.8°W | 70 | 975 | H1 |
| 2023-09-22 00Z | 44.3°N 38.7°W | 65 | 975 | H1 |
| 2023-09-22 06Z | 45.4°N 34.3°W | 60 | 974 | TS |
| 2023-09-22 12Z | 47.2°N 30.2°W | 55 | 972 | TS |
| 2023-09-22 18Z | 48.9°N 26.8°W | 55 | 971 | TS |
| 2023-09-23 00Z | 50.9°N 24.0°W | 55 | 969 | TS |
| 2023-09-23 06Z | 53.3°N 22.2°W | 55 | 967 | TS |
| 2023-09-23 12Z | 55.6°N 22.7°W | 55 | 964 | TS |
| 2023-09-23 18Z | 57.7°N 23.2°W | 55 | 961 | TS |
| 2023-09-24 00Z | 58.3°N 25.6°W | 50 | 958 | TS |
| 2023-09-24 06Z | 57.4°N 27.4°W | 50 | 958 | TS |
| 2023-09-24 12Z | 56.1°N 26.7°W | 45 | 961 | TS |
| 2023-09-24 18Z | 56.4°N 23.5°W | 45 | 964 | TS |
| 2023-09-25 00Z | 58.0°N 20.9°W | 40 | 969 | TS |
| 2023-09-25 06Z | 60.1°N 18.6°W | 40 | 971 | TS |
| 2023-09-25 12Z | 61.0°N 18.5°W | 40 | 972 | TS |
| 2023-09-25 18Z | 61.5°N 19.4°W | 40 | 974 | TS |
| 2023-09-26 00Z | 61.5°N 20.9°W | 40 | 976 | TS |
| 2023-09-26 06Z | 61.5°N 22.5°W | 40 | 977 | TS |
| 2023-09-26 12Z | 61.5°N 23.3°W | 40 | 977 | TS |