2023 tropical cyclone season · North Indian Ocean

Cyclone Michaung Michaung · IO082023

Cyclone Michaung was tracked in the North Indian Ocean from 2023-11-30 to 2023-12-06 (6 days), peaking at 65 kt (H1) with a minimum pressure of 985 hPa. 54 archived forecasts from ECMWF, ECMWF ENS, GFS, GEFS are verified against its best track; at 48 hours the closest was GEFS, 44 km off on average.

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ATCF ID
IO082023
Basin
North Indian Ocean
Tracked
2023-11-30 → 2023-12-06 (6 days)
Peak wind
65 kt · 33 m/s · H1
Minimum pressure
985 hPa
Archived forecasts
54
Sources
ECMWF · ECMWF ENS · GFS · GEFS
TDTSH1H2H3H4H5

Forecast track error (km)

Source24 h48 h72 h120 h
ECMWF60 (10)115 (6)192 (2)—
ECMWF ENS54 (13)86 (9)106 (5)—
GFS33 (10)71 (6)48 (2)—
GEFS39 (10)44 (6)110 (2)—

Mean great-circle distance to the best track at each lead time, counted while the system was a tropical or subtropical cyclone; the number of cases is in brackets.

Best track

Six-hourly positions of the US best track (JTWC / NHC, one-minute winds); grades on the Saffir–Simpson scale.

Time (UTC)PositionWind (kt)Pressure (hPa)Grade
2023-11-30 06Z7.5°N 88.0°E151008TD
2023-11-30 12Z8.2°N 87.2°E151008TD
2023-11-30 18Z8.4°N 86.4°E151009TD
2023-12-01 00Z8.7°N 85.7°E151004TD
2023-12-01 06Z9.0°N 85.0°E151003TD
2023-12-01 12Z9.4°N 84.5°E201001TD
2023-12-01 18Z9.4°N 84.5°E251000TD
2023-12-02 00Z9.6°N 84.2°E25999TD
2023-12-02 06Z9.9°N 84.0°E25998TD
2023-12-02 12Z10.2°N 83.8°E30996TD
2023-12-02 18Z10.5°N 83.6°E30994TD
2023-12-03 00Z11.1°N 83.3°E35993TS
2023-12-03 06Z11.9°N 82.8°E35993TS
2023-12-03 12Z12.4°N 82.5°E40992TS
2023-12-03 18Z12.7°N 82.0°E50991TS
2023-12-04 00Z13.0°N 81.5°E55990TS
2023-12-04 06Z13.5°N 81.0°E55989TS
2023-12-04 12Z13.9°N 80.6°E60988TS
2023-12-04 18Z14.3°N 80.2°E65985H1
2023-12-05 00Z14.8°N 80.1°E60987TS
2023-12-05 06Z15.6°N 80.1°E55991TS
2023-12-05 12Z16.0°N 80.1°E45994TS
2023-12-05 18Z16.9°N 80.4°E35996TS
2023-12-06 00Z17.3°N 80.6°E30997TD
2023-12-06 06Z18.3°N 81.1°E25999TD