2023 tropical cyclone season · Southern Hemisphere
Cyclone Kevin Kevin · SH162023
Cyclone Kevin was tracked in the Southern Hemisphere from 2023-02-27 to 2023-03-08 (9 days), peaking at 135 kt (H4) with a minimum pressure of 918 hPa. 92 archived forecasts from ECMWF, ECMWF ENS, GFS, GEFS are verified against its best track; at 48 hours the closest was GFS, 89 km off on average.
- ATCF ID
- SH162023
- Basin
- Southern Hemisphere
- Tracked
- 2023-02-27 → 2023-03-08 (9 days)
- Peak wind
- 135 kt · 69 m/s · H4
- Minimum pressure
- 918 hPa
- Archived forecasts
- 92
- Sources
- ECMWF · ECMWF ENS · GFS · GEFS
Forecast track error (km)
| Source | 24 h | 48 h | 72 h | 120 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 65 (16) | 127 (12) | 210 (8) | — |
| ECMWF ENS | 76 (16) | 132 (12) | 240 (8) | 286 (1) |
| GFS | 71 (17) | 89 (13) | 175 (9) | 328 (1) |
| GEFS | 71 (17) | 130 (13) | 228 (9) | 208 (1) |
Mean great-circle distance to the best track at each lead time, counted while the system was a tropical or subtropical cyclone; the number of cases is in brackets.
Best track
Six-hourly positions of the US best track (JTWC / NHC, one-minute winds); grades on the Saffir–Simpson scale.
| Time (UTC) | Position | Wind (kt) | Pressure (hPa) | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-02-28 18Z | 13.2°S 158.3°E | 25 | 1004 | TD |
| 2023-03-01 00Z | 13.1°S 159.5°E | 25 | 1004 | TD |
| 2023-03-01 06Z | 13.0°S 160.5°E | 25 | 996 | TD |
| 2023-03-01 12Z | 13.3°S 161.4°E | 30 | 994 | TD |
| 2023-03-01 18Z | 14.0°S 162.7°E | 40 | 988 | TS |
| 2023-03-02 00Z | 14.5°S 163.2°E | 50 | 987 | TS |
| 2023-03-02 06Z | 15.1°S 163.7°E | 55 | 984 | TS |
| 2023-03-02 12Z | 15.6°S 164.5°E | 65 | 980 | H1 |
| 2023-03-02 18Z | 16.3°S 165.7°E | 75 | 974 | H1 |
| 2023-03-03 00Z | 17.0°S 166.6°E | 80 | 971 | H1 |
| 2023-03-03 06Z | 17.7°S 167.6°E | 90 | 963 | H2 |
| 2023-03-03 12Z | 18.6°S 168.7°E | 100 | 956 | H3 |
| 2023-03-03 18Z | 19.7°S 170.0°E | 115 | 940 | H4 |
| 2023-03-04 00Z | 20.8°S 171.4°E | 135 | 920 | H4 |
| 2023-03-04 06Z | 22.1°S 173.1°E | 135 | 918 | H4 |
| 2023-03-04 12Z | 23.4°S 175.2°E | 120 | 936 | H4 |
| 2023-03-04 18Z | 24.6°S 177.3°E | 105 | 945 | H3 |
| 2023-03-05 00Z | 25.8°S 179.8°E | 90 | 959 | H2 |
| 2023-03-05 06Z | 26.8°S 177.4°W | 80 | 964 | H1 |
| 2023-03-05 12Z | 28.1°S 174.5°W | 70 | 971 | H1 |
| 2023-03-05 18Z | 29.0°S 171.9°W | 65 | 976 | H1 |
| 2023-03-06 00Z | 29.6°S 169.9°W | 50 | 984 | TS |
| 2023-03-06 06Z | 30.5°S 167.2°W | 50 | 980 | TS |
| 2023-03-06 12Z | 31.8°S 164.9°W | 40 | 985 | TS |
| 2023-03-06 18Z | 33.0°S 163.6°W | 35 | 987 | TS |