2023 tropical cyclone season · western North Pacific
Typhoon Guchol Guchol · WP032023
Typhoon Guchol was tracked in the western North Pacific from 2023-06-04 to 2023-06-17 (13 days), peaking at 95 kt (H2) with a minimum pressure of 958 hPa. 124 archived forecasts from ECMWF, ECMWF ENS, GFS, GEFS are verified against its best track; at 48 hours the closest was ECMWF, 87 km off on average.
- ATCF ID
- WP032023
- Basin
- western North Pacific
- Tracked
- 2023-06-04 → 2023-06-17 (13 days)
- Peak wind
- 95 kt · 49 m/s · H2
- Minimum pressure
- 958 hPa
- Archived forecasts
- 124
- Sources
- ECMWF · ECMWF ENS · GFS · GEFS
Forecast track error (km)
| Source | 24 h | 48 h | 72 h | 120 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ECMWF | 49 (25) | 87 (21) | 202 (17) | 461 (5) |
| ECMWF ENS | 54 (25) | 95 (21) | 192 (17) | 455 (9) |
| GFS | 71 (25) | 116 (21) | 176 (17) | 290 (9) |
| GEFS | 55 (25) | 99 (21) | 165 (17) | 297 (9) |
Mean great-circle distance to the best track at each lead time, counted while the system was a tropical or subtropical cyclone; the number of cases is in brackets.
Best track
Six-hourly positions of the US best track (JTWC / NHC, one-minute winds); grades on the Saffir–Simpson scale.
| Time (UTC) | Position | Wind (kt) | Pressure (hPa) | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-06-04 18Z | 11.7°N 135.0°E | 15 | 1010 | TD |
| 2023-06-05 00Z | 11.9°N 134.6°E | 15 | 1010 | TD |
| 2023-06-05 06Z | 12.3°N 134.5°E | 20 | 1006 | TD |
| 2023-06-05 12Z | 12.7°N 134.5°E | 20 | 1006 | TD |
| 2023-06-05 18Z | 13.1°N 134.6°E | 20 | 1006 | TD |
| 2023-06-06 00Z | 13.5°N 134.7°E | 25 | 1006 | TD |
| 2023-06-06 06Z | 13.9°N 134.8°E | 30 | 1003 | TD |
| 2023-06-06 12Z | 14.2°N 134.9°E | 30 | 1005 | TD |
| 2023-06-06 18Z | 14.4°N 134.5°E | 35 | 1001 | TS |
| 2023-06-07 00Z | 14.6°N 134.1°E | 40 | 1000 | TS |
| 2023-06-07 06Z | 15.0°N 133.6°E | 45 | 998 | TS |
| 2023-06-07 12Z | 15.3°N 133.0°E | 50 | 995 | TS |
| 2023-06-07 18Z | 15.6°N 132.4°E | 60 | 989 | TS |
| 2023-06-08 00Z | 15.9°N 131.8°E | 65 | 987 | H1 |
| 2023-06-08 06Z | 16.2°N 131.2°E | 70 | 980 | H1 |
| 2023-06-08 12Z | 16.4°N 130.9°E | 80 | 973 | H1 |
| 2023-06-08 18Z | 16.8°N 130.4°E | 90 | 965 | H2 |
| 2023-06-09 00Z | 17.3°N 130.2°E | 85 | 969 | H2 |
| 2023-06-09 06Z | 17.9°N 130.0°E | 85 | 969 | H2 |
| 2023-06-09 12Z | 18.2°N 130.0°E | 75 | 976 | H1 |
| 2023-06-09 18Z | 18.6°N 129.9°E | 85 | 965 | H2 |
| 2023-06-10 00Z | 19.1°N 129.9°E | 90 | 962 | H2 |
| 2023-06-10 06Z | 20.2°N 130.2°E | 95 | 958 | H2 |
| 2023-06-10 12Z | 20.7°N 130.6°E | 90 | 962 | H2 |
| 2023-06-10 18Z | 22.2°N 130.8°E | 80 | 967 | H1 |
| 2023-06-11 00Z | 23.2°N 131.7°E | 75 | 971 | H1 |
| 2023-06-11 06Z | 24.2°N 132.2°E | 70 | 974 | H1 |
| 2023-06-11 12Z | 25.5°N 133.6°E | 50 | 986 | TS |
| 2023-06-11 18Z | 26.9°N 134.7°E | 45 | 987 | TS |
| 2023-06-12 00Z | 28.1°N 136.6°E | 50 | 986 | TS |
| 2023-06-12 06Z | 29.4°N 138.0°E | 50 | 986 | TS |
| 2023-06-12 12Z | 30.6°N 139.5°E | 45 | 988 | TS |
| 2023-06-12 18Z | 32.3°N 141.7°E | 45 | 988 | TS |
| 2023-06-13 00Z | 34.1°N 144.0°E | 40 | 990 | TS |