2023 tropical cyclone season · North Atlantic

Hurricane Bret Bret · AL032023

Hurricane Bret was tracked in the North Atlantic from 2023-06-19 to 2023-06-24 (5 days), peaking at 60 kt (TS) with a minimum pressure of 996 hPa. 142 archived forecasts from NHC, ECMWF, ECMWF ENS, GFS, GEFS are verified against its best track; at 48 hours the closest was ECMWF, 81 km off on average.

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ATCF ID
AL032023
Basin
North Atlantic
Tracked
2023-06-19 → 2023-06-24 (5 days)
Peak wind
60 kt · 31 m/s · TS
Minimum pressure
996 hPa
Archived forecasts
142
Sources
NHC · ECMWF · ECMWF ENS · GFS · GEFS
TDTSH1H2H3H4H5

Forecast track error (km)

Source24 h48 h72 h120 h
NHC63 (17)106 (13)157 (9)613 (1)
ECMWF56 (15)81 (12)135 (7)304 (1)
ECMWF ENS67 (15)92 (12)131 (8)—
GFS102 (18)182 (14)273 (10)1032 (2)
GEFS65 (18)126 (14)182 (10)527 (2)

Mean great-circle distance to the best track at each lead time, counted while the system was a tropical or subtropical cyclone; the number of cases is in brackets.

Best track

Six-hourly positions of the US best track (JTWC / NHC, one-minute winds); grades on the Saffir–Simpson scale.

Time (UTC)PositionWind (kt)Pressure (hPa)Grade
2023-06-19 06Z10.7°N 37.3°W301009TD
2023-06-19 12Z10.9°N 39.1°W301009TD
2023-06-19 18Z11.1°N 40.9°W351008TS
2023-06-20 00Z11.3°N 42.7°W351008TS
2023-06-20 06Z11.5°N 44.5°W351008TS
2023-06-20 12Z11.7°N 46.3°W351008TS
2023-06-20 18Z12.0°N 48.0°W401006TS
2023-06-21 00Z12.4°N 49.4°W451004TS
2023-06-21 06Z12.7°N 50.7°W501001TS
2023-06-21 12Z13.0°N 52.0°W501001TS
2023-06-21 18Z13.3°N 53.3°W551000TS
2023-06-22 00Z13.4°N 54.6°W55999TS
2023-06-22 06Z13.5°N 55.9°W60996TS
2023-06-22 12Z13.5°N 57.3°W60998TS
2023-06-22 18Z13.4°N 58.8°W551000TS
2023-06-23 00Z13.3°N 60.3°W551001TS
2023-06-23 06Z13.3°N 62.0°W501001TS
2023-06-23 12Z13.2°N 63.8°W501002TS
2023-06-23 18Z13.1°N 65.6°W451003TS
2023-06-24 00Z13.0°N 67.4°W451004TS
2023-06-24 06Z13.0°N 69.2°W401005TS
2023-06-24 12Z13.0°N 70.9°W401007TS