2023 tropical cyclone season · eastern North Pacific
Hurricane Adrian Adrian · EP012023
Hurricane Adrian was tracked in the eastern North Pacific from 2023-06-27 to 2023-07-04 (7 days), peaking at 90 kt (H2) with a minimum pressure of 970 hPa. 122 archived forecasts from NHC, ECMWF, ECMWF ENS, GFS, GEFS are verified against its best track; at 48 hours the closest was GFS, 99 km off on average.
- ATCF ID
- EP012023
- Basin
- eastern North Pacific
- Tracked
- 2023-06-27 → 2023-07-04 (7 days)
- Peak wind
- 90 kt · 46 m/s · H2
- Minimum pressure
- 970 hPa
- Archived forecasts
- 122
- Sources
- NHC · ECMWF · ECMWF ENS · GFS · GEFS
Forecast track error (km)
| Source | 24 h | 48 h | 72 h | 120 h |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NHC | 65 (15) | 133 (11) | 197 (7) | — |
| ECMWF | 91 (16) | 156 (12) | 232 (8) | — |
| ECMWF ENS | 87 (15) | 147 (11) | 216 (7) | — |
| GFS | 62 (16) | 99 (12) | 128 (8) | — |
| GEFS | 72 (16) | 126 (12) | 211 (8) | — |
Mean great-circle distance to the best track at each lead time, counted while the system was a tropical or subtropical cyclone; the number of cases is in brackets.
Best track
Six-hourly positions of the US best track (JTWC / NHC, one-minute winds); grades on the Saffir–Simpson scale.
| Time (UTC) | Position | Wind (kt) | Pressure (hPa) | Grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-06-27 12Z | 15.2°N 104.5°W | 30 | 1006 | TD |
| 2023-06-27 18Z | 15.2°N 105.5°W | 40 | 1002 | TS |
| 2023-06-28 00Z | 15.2°N 106.4°W | 50 | 997 | TS |
| 2023-06-28 06Z | 15.2°N 107.1°W | 55 | 994 | TS |
| 2023-06-28 12Z | 15.2°N 107.6°W | 65 | 989 | H1 |
| 2023-06-28 18Z | 15.3°N 108.1°W | 70 | 986 | H1 |
| 2023-06-29 00Z | 15.4°N 108.7°W | 70 | 986 | H1 |
| 2023-06-29 06Z | 15.6°N 109.4°W | 75 | 982 | H1 |
| 2023-06-29 12Z | 15.9°N 109.9°W | 75 | 982 | H1 |
| 2023-06-29 18Z | 16.2°N 110.4°W | 75 | 980 | H1 |
| 2023-06-30 00Z | 16.5°N 111.0°W | 80 | 976 | H1 |
| 2023-06-30 06Z | 16.7°N 111.4°W | 85 | 973 | H2 |
| 2023-06-30 12Z | 17.0°N 111.9°W | 90 | 970 | H2 |
| 2023-06-30 18Z | 17.3°N 112.5°W | 90 | 970 | H2 |
| 2023-07-01 00Z | 17.6°N 113.1°W | 80 | 977 | H1 |
| 2023-07-01 06Z | 17.9°N 113.7°W | 70 | 983 | H1 |
| 2023-07-01 12Z | 18.2°N 114.2°W | 55 | 994 | TS |
| 2023-07-01 18Z | 18.5°N 114.7°W | 50 | 997 | TS |
| 2023-07-02 00Z | 18.8°N 115.2°W | 45 | 1000 | TS |
| 2023-07-02 06Z | 19.1°N 115.8°W | 35 | 1005 | TS |
| 2023-07-02 12Z | 19.4°N 116.4°W | 30 | 1005 | TD |
| 2023-07-02 18Z | 19.7°N 117.1°W | 25 | 1005 | TD |
| 2023-07-03 00Z | 19.9°N 117.8°W | 25 | 1006 | TD |
| 2023-07-03 06Z | 20.0°N 118.5°W | 25 | 1007 | TD |
| 2023-07-03 12Z | 20.1°N 119.3°W | 20 | 1007 | TD |
| 2023-07-03 18Z | 20.2°N 120.0°W | 20 | 1010 | TD |
| 2023-07-04 00Z | 20.1°N 120.6°W | 20 | 1011 | TD |
| 2023-07-04 06Z | 20.0°N 121.1°W | 15 | 1011 | TD |
| 2023-07-04 12Z | 19.9°N 121.7°W | 15 | 1011 | TD |
| 2023-07-04 18Z | 19.9°N 122.4°W | 15 | 1012 | TD |